Tuesday, 1 February 2011

Tropical Cyclone Yasi

It'll probably be a bit quieter than normal at A Snail's Eye View for the next few days as Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi approaches Queensland. This is a very big storm and is likely to do a lot of damage as it crosses the coast. The current watch zone extends from Cooktown to Yeppoon (near Rockhampton) and inland as far as Georgetown (about 300km from the coast.) Yasi is serious business.

Image from Fiji Meteorological Survey. (The small blob to the SW is ex-TC Anthony)


Bureau of Meteorology forecast track map for Severe TC Yasi 
(as of 31 Jan 2011)

The current BoM model has the storm making landfall between Innisfail and Mackay late Wednesday/early Thursday, although this prediction may change as more data become available. Given my location (about 55km inland from Innisfail), I'll be spending tomorrow making sure than everything important is in waterproof containers. Just in case something happens to the roof and/or windows. The BoM expects winds in excess of 100km/hr by mid-morning Wednesday, well in advance of the main part of the storm.

Meanwhile, a lot of people will be in a much worse position than me. Storm surge models show extensive inundation of the coastal plain. Also more than a metre of rain may fall in some areas during the cyclone. Ports from Cairns to Mackay have been closed, resorts and nursing homes evacuated and the population in low-lying areas asked to consider relocating.

It's going to be a bumpy ride.

22 comments:

budak said...

hang in there....!

Sherrie Y said...

Oh dear... la NiƱa isn't giving you all and sort of break this year, is she? (The moody little so-and-so.) I don't suppose the paddies will let you cuddle them for comfort during the storm... I'll be thinking dry thoughts for you...

Snail said...

Thanks, Budak! I'll be hanging on for dear life.

Sherrie, they've got really sharp claws. And fleas, lice and flies. (They probably don't think highly of me either!) But I expect they'll be lined up on the patio when it starts raining.

I'm a little concerned about this cyclone. The house is surrounded by a lot of tall timber and it's a very small building.

M said...

Hi Snail,
Thanks for giving one a reason to laugh right now with your description of ex TC Anthony being the 'small blob...'
Hadn't seen today's Yasi update... sure has its focus on Nth Qld's Coast. I do wish you well with Yasi looking to have seriously unpleasant intentions.
I may be in Gympie and nearer to Brisbane than Nth Qld, but I'm feeling the atmosphere to be heavy, brooding with portent, with air pressure increasing, and my Word Verification for this Message's acceptance being 'cytona' is a rather worrying addition.
Summer has been exhausting and traumatic instead of drainingly hot this time round...
May all the Elementals alive and well amid your environment help keep you, your home, the creatures and themselves safe.
My deepest good wishes to you, from M (Australia)

Calling Ravens said...

I was going to leave a comment on your previous post about your great pics of Red et. al, but decided to go with only one comment, on this post, saying "Well, guess it will be back to drip drip and Red and company will be soaking.
All humor aside, I will be keeping you and the gang in my thoughts that you stay safe and unharmed!!!
Best to you Snail and when you can, let us know you are all right.

mick said...

Good luck with all your water-proofing of your goods. I hope you stay safe in the coming TC. I am told they occasionally come down this was but not in the 7 years since I have lived here.

Kirk said...

I don't suppose you would want to take my snowstorm too?
Sounds like the paddies and you could use a few rafts.
Hang in there, it's got to dry out soon

neomyrtus said...

Welllllll - you did swap the southern temperate monotonous dullness for the vibrant and salubrious rainforest lifestyle of the wet tropics...

All the best - its pretty "exciting" when a system rips through the forest (sounds like a low-flying jet or train) - waterproofing stuff is very wise move.

cheers
Neo..depeni

Dave Coulter said...

Oh boy. And we have blizzard warnings here. I'm not sure I like either predicament!

Snail said...

M, I probably should have referred to Anthony as 'comparatively small'! Mind you, Tasha was a tiddler and look how much havoc she wreaked! I'm trying not to scale up to Yasi.

Snail said...

Calling Ravens, I'm (probably unnecessarily) concerned about the paddies. I'll be heading off to stay with friends about half a kilometre up the road. Still in the rainforest, but at least with pals. I presume the paddies have their little equivalent nests and hollows. Although the trees may ameliorate the impact of the wind at ground level, I suspect that the patio won't offer the animals much shelter in this storm!

Snail said...

Mick, I'm triple bagging the computer and camera, adding silica gel and putting it all in plastic tote boxes. If they still get damaged after that, then I probably won't be in a condition to use them!

Snail said...

Kirk, I can't quite picture a snowstorm meeting a tropical cyclone. Maybe something along the lines of the Kilauea lava hitting the ocean?

Snail said...

Neo, I know! But this is a bit of a big 'un. Not yer usual cyclone.

Snail said...

Dave, not much fun in either part of the world atm. :(

I don't think I like the bit of the cyclone forecast that says gusts will reach 280km/hr. If it takes too long to pass, that's a load of formerly well-attached roofs no longer attached at all!

Anonymous said...

B - hang on tight! Thinking of you -W

Snail said...

Thanks, Whale. No one's taking this one lightly! Port Douglas, the northern beaches and Cairns CBD are being evacuated. There are also evacs in Townsville in anticipation of a major storm surge.

Lynette Weir said...

Hi Snail, Not liking this mornings upgrade on that cyclone it was already bad enough. I hope you got all your good waterproofed and as safe as you can. Glad you will be with friends...it doesn't look good.
Stay as safe as you can...
Lyn

Snail said...

Hi Lyn

You would not think this monster is on its way! I am just finishing off some packing and waterproofing. I think this will be a really bad 24 hours. (I'm not even thinking baout the clean up yet!)

neomyrtus said...

Hey Snail
yes - ..from a 3 yesterday to turning bad overnight and turning into a TC Tracy..

All the best and will hear from you on when the power and trees are sorted..

Snail said...

Thanks, neo. Off now.

Charlotta Ward said...

I just found your blog as I am watching the news and the approaching monster Yasi.

I hope you and yours are safe. We'll be thinking of you all up there.

Charlotta